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TheODDSbible's NFL Handicapper Picks Out Four Money Lines With Great Value

TheODDSbible's NFL Handicapper Picks Out Four Money Lines With Great Value

Anonymous

Anonymous

So during the first weekend of the NFL the accumulator did alright but didn't land.

We got 2/4 correct with Buffalo only failing to win due to their offense being particularly poor and seriously restricted by Baltimore. They went down by a score. Same story with the Falcons who were undone by a seriously decent performance from Tampa's potential breakout QB star Jameis Winston. Again they went down by a score. No big deal as we'll go again using the same methods looking for undervalued or under bet teams.

This week though, we're going to back them all as singles and hopefully return a tidy profit. A side note I'll mention here is I think Cleveland are overpriced to beat the Ravens at home and San Francisco might just outrun their silly odds on the road at Carolina. I've left them out of our accumulator though as we want some suitable surefire things.

Let's look at my week two selections...

Kansas City Chiefs @ Houston Texans

Again I feel that the market is undervaluing this efficient yet quite bland Chiefs team coached by the respected Andy Reid. In week one they showed tremendous grit to come back from almost certain defeat at San Diego. Last year they were a winning team going 11-5. I expect them to be a winning team again. There is considerable hyperbole surrounding this Texans team, with their exceptional defense and pass-rush led by JJ Watt and Jadeveon Clowney aswell as their probably overpaid QB, Brock Osweiler.

Last week they got the job done but Osweiler wasn't electric at QB and Watt looks a little sluggish so far. They only beat Chicago so let's not get too carried away. The red zone efficiency of the Chiefs last week was pretty ridiculous and I expect the conservative Texans may even become more conservative when at home with expectations up and the pressure turned up.

My gut tells me that this is a genuinely pick-em (50/50) but we're getting just over 5/4 and I think that's decent value for a winning team against a team that's a little bit hype without substance so far. Take the Chiefs at 2.34 to grind out another win.

Tennessee Titans @ Detroit Lions

Again, we're taking the unfashionable team in this one. The Titans with Mariota under Centre are expected to shake things up a few times this season and not very much is expected of Detroit. The market favours Detroit but in my eyes not nearly as much as they should.

To me the Titans look about brittle as Vincent Kompany's back at the moment and last week they fell apart in roughly a quarter of play with fumbles and turnovers shaking their confidence and creating a sinkhole which they easily slipped into. I think Detroit can create pressure again around the pocket and I'm not convinced that the Titans can stand up to it this time either.

In week 1 the Lions outscored the admittedly shaky Colts and their limited secondary in a barn-burner in Indianapolis but at least it shows that Stafford and his wide array of weapons can rattle up some decent numbers and yardage.

I expect another high scoring affair but I am rather confident that Detroit can take it by at least a touchdown, probably more. Take the Lions at 1.44 when they should really be 2/5 or shorter.

Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings

We've been about as fashionable as a Kappa Tracksuit so far with these picks but if it makes us a few quid, who cares? Let's stick with it. Once more into the breach dear friends I'm going against the likeable and trendy Packers. Even I love the Packers and fancy they could win it all this year but they're offense isn't completely in sync so far and Jordy Nelson hasn't yet plugged into Aaron Rodgers cerebral QB'ing Matrix just yet.

I fancy this strangulating Vikings defense could limit them once again and this could be a tight, low scoring affair. With the more functional Sam Bradford expected to start for Minnesota I suspect they'll be more of an offensive threat than they were week one but the market hasn't really reacted to any of this, go figure. Despite Rollins, Clinton-Dix and Co in the trenches for the Packers on defense I expect they'll be surprised by the potency of Bradford and over Evens for this smart Vikings roster at home is way too big.

Week 1 the Packers held on, just. The Vikings won despite their offense which should be smarter this time round. The market is overvaluing Rodgers and Co and underrating this decent outfit in Minnesota. Take the Vikings at around 2.16 to shock the Packers.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears

Ok, let's shed this Kappa Tracksuit and slip into something more fashionable. T-Shirt and Chinos perhaps. We're taking the more fashionable option this time I've no doubt that even with rookie QB Carson Wentz under Center, Philadelphia can spread Chicago all over Soldier field. See what I did there? Wordplay. Love it.

Chicago are not a good football team and are not particularly well run. The sometimes enigmatic but more often sulky and below average Jay Cutler isn't a decent leader of his team. I fancy Philadelphia can get ahead early in this one and Cutler and Co won't have the resolve to fight back. The Eagles have some decent talent on both sides of the ball and Wentz has shown he can throw the occasional bomb downfield.

Some say the Eagles Linebacking Corps has boom or bust potential but I fancy they'll have some success against this Bears O-Line. The market again is almost by default favouring the Bears, a tad too heavily in my opinion. The Eagles should perhaps be slight underdogs but not by much and we're getting almost 7/4 about a team that should be more like 11/10. Take the Eagles and this vibrant roster to win on the road at around 2.54.

If you do fancy taking on the accumulator, we're looking at similar odds to last week. A fiver should return around £90 which ain't half bad. Happy punting.

Words By: Jamie Morrall

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